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Главная » 2018 » Ноябрь » 29 » (11) Carlsen,Magnus (2835) - Caruana,Fabiano (2832) [B31]

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09:58 (11) Carlsen,Magnus (2835) - Caruana,Fabiano (2832) [B31]

============================= (11) Carlsen,Magnus (2835) - Caruana,Fabiano (2832) [B31] 2018 World Chess Championship London (11), 24.11.2018 [Sam Shankland] 1.e4 I was little surprised to see 1.e4 today, but then again, I have failed to predict basically any opening choice Magnus has made. Maybe that's why he is so hard to prepare for. 1...e5 2.Nf3 Nf6 3.Nxe5 d6 4.Nf3 Nxe4 5.Nc3 Nxc3 6.dxc3 Be7 7.Be3 0-0 [7...Nc6 Was Caruana's choice in the infamous "shush" game in St. Louis in August, 2018.] 8.Qd2 Nd7 9.0-0-0 Nf6 A somewhat unusual move, but not a bad one, and mentioned on one of Caruana's Chessbase files in the leaked video! [9...c6 Is definitely the main try. Caruana has played this move multiple times. I'm sure Magnus had some idea in mind.] 10.Bd3 Up until here Magnus was blitzing, but he started to think more after Black's next move. This I do not really understand... 10...c5 This is Black's most common move by far, and the top choice of the machine. I don't see how Magnus could have been prepared up to Bd3 and surprised when Black plays the best move according to both human and silicon practice. 11.Rhe1 Be6 12.Kb1 [12.Bg5 Is a more critical try. The machines offer it as a clear improvement and in practice it has fared well, including a fine win by Karjakin over Harikrishna. It must be the most challenging move, though obviously one has to believe Caruana would have been prepared for it.] 12...Qa5! This forces the queens off. Black has to be a little careful I guess. 13.c4 Qxd2 14.Bxd2 h6 This was the point where I joined the Chess.com live broadcast, and basically called the game perfectly up to the point where it was no longer interesting. [Caruana deviated from 14...Rfe8 15.Ng5 Bd7 16.f3 Bc6 17.a3 h6 18.Ne4 Nxe4 19.Bxe4 Bxe4 20.Rxe4 Bf8 as played very recently in Sasikiran,K (2671)-Miroshnichenko,E (2606) Saint Louis USA 2018] 15.Nh4?! This is very forcing, extremely direct, and basically just a draw. Black is in horrible shape if he doesn't play the most forcing moves at his disposal. Given this is Caruana's normal M.O. anyway, I can't imagine Magnus expected to get much. [15.h3 A patient move like this one was certainly a better try. White might go for Nh4 in the future now than Ng4 becomes less enticing, and g2-g4 is a plan as well. The computer even offers White a slight edge, but it's hard to imagine a 2800 losing with Black.] 15...Rfe8 [15...Ng4 16.Nf5 (16.Ng6 fxg6 17.Rxe6 Carlsen noted that he thought Black would be a bit worse here. We agreed during the live analysis. But it's hard to imagine Caruana subjecting himself to this when Rfe8 equalizes easily. 17...Nxf2 18.Rde1 Nxd3 19.cxd3 Bf6 20.Rxd6 Bd4 21.Rde6 And White will play Kc2 and one of the rooks to e2 if needed [Carlsen].) 16...Rfe8 Would transpose to the game (16...Bxf5? 17.Bxf5 Nxf2 18.Rc1! Nice and simple. I found this line with Robert and Danny during the live broadcast, and the knucklehead cliub figured out that White is pleasantly better. The knight is in serious danger of getting trapped.) ] 16.Ng6 Ng4! Strong, but also very straightforward. 17.Nxe7+ Rxe7 18.Re2 If White had a move to consolidate, he would be much better. But he doesn't. 18...Ne5! The bishop pair is halved, and everything liquidates in short order. 19.Bf4 [19.Bc3 f6! (19...Nxd3?! 20.Rxd3 Rd7 21.Rg3! Would be a little uncomfortable for Black, though I do think he should hold without a ton of trouble.) 20.Bxe5 (20.b3 Nxd3 21.Rxd3 Rd8 White cannot stop Kf7 followed by d5) 20...dxe5 I was not sure about this position at first, worrying about White being able to dominate the d-file. But Black is definitely fine, and if White plays Red2, f6-f5 followed by Kf7-f6 becomes an idea, when Black sets his healthy majority in motion.] 19...Nxd3 20.Rxd3 Rd7! The last accurate move ends the game. The d6 pawn could have been a target, and now it will be exchanged. 21.Rxd6 [21.b3 Rad8 With d6-d5 to follow, and absolute equality.] 21...Rxd6 22.Bxd6 Rd8 23.Rd2 Bxc4 24.Kc1 b6 25.Bf4 Rxd2 This was unnecessary as Black will likely lose a pawn, but with opposite colored bishops, it is still a very straightforward draw. [25...Re8 Was a simpler route to full equality. The text is hardly a mistake though.] 26.Kxd2 a6 27.a3 Kf8 The simplest. Black does not try to save his pawns, will lose one button, and have an easy fortress. 28.Bc7 b5 29.Bd6+ Ke8 30.Bxc5 h5 Once g6 comes, the kingside is permanently secured. The black king can come to c6 and White's extra pawn is of no value. 31.Ke3 Kd7 32.Kd4 g6 33.g3 Be2 34.Bf8 Kc6 35.b3 Bd1 36.Kd3 Bg4 37.c4 Be6 38.Kd4 bxc4 39.bxc4 Bg4 The only plan other than the one Carlsen tried is to play h4 and then hope for f2-f3, g3-g4, and then Kg5 to create a passed h-pawn. Black would have to be extremely cooperative for this to work. 40.c5 Be6 41.Bh6 [41.h4 Bf5 42.Ke3 Be6 43.Kf4 Bf5 44.f3 Be6 45.g4 Is an illustration of my plan in action. Black probably did not have to allow even this. But still, it's just a draw if he stops the king from coming to g5. 45...Bd5 With dead equality. (45...Bc4? 46.Kg5 And White wins with the h-pawn.) ] 41...Bd5 42.Be3 Be6 43.Ke5 Bd5 44.Kf4 Be6 45.Kg5 Bd5 46.g4 hxg4 47.Kxg4 Ba2 48.Kg5 Bb3 49.Kf6 Ba2 50.h4 Bb3 51.f4 Now f5 is coming. If Black takes it, the h-pawn goes. But it's not a problem. 51...Ba2 [51...Bc2? Too soon. Black needs to wait for f5 first. 52.Kxf7 ] 52.Ke7 Bb3 53.Kf6 Ba2 54.f5 If Black were to fall asleep at the wheel, fxg6 would win. But after 54...Bb1! Now Kxf7 is no longer an issue since it can be met with Bxf5. 55.Bf2 The last trick. White hopes Black will take on f5. But it's almost like hoping Santa Claus will bring you Christmas presents. Once you reach a certain level, you know it will never happen. [55.fxg6 fxg6 Is also a draw. Obviously Black should not take with the bishop to allow a second passed pawn.] 55...Bc2 Caruana finished the game with more time than he started with, and Carlsen with only three minutes less. There wasn't much to say, and if I thought Chess. com would pay me my standard $1 million per game fee for leaving my annotations blank, maybe I would have done it! Game 12 should be interesting. The high pressure might induce more mistakes than normal and we could see more of a fight. One wonders if Carlsen will stick with the Sveshnikov for a sixth game in a row. Caruana is very likely to keep playing 1. e4. [55...Bxf5? Lets the h-pawn through. 56.h5 ] 1/2-1/2 (12) Caruana,Fabiano (2832) - Carlsen,Magnus (2835) [B33] 2018 World Chess Championship London (12), 26.11.2018 [Sam Shankland] 1.e4 c5 2.Nf3 Nc6 Magnus sticks to his same Sicilian repertoire in the all decisive final game. One can only admire his willingness to enter sharp positions with it all on the line. 3.d4 cxd4 4.Nxd4 Nf6 5.Nc3 e5 6.Ndb5 d6 7.Nd5 Nxd5 8.exd5 Ne7!? The first surprise. Games 8 and 10 saw 8...Nb8 [8...Nb8 And here Caruana was playing 9.a4 a very different plan from what we saw in the present game.] 9.c4 Ng6 10.Qa4 Bd7 11.Qb4 Bf5 Up to this point both sides were blitzing. Caruana now thought for a bit before ultimately going for the most testing move. 12.h4!? White aims to play against the g6 knight. The threat of h4-h5 is not particularly subtle, but a bit annoying for Black to meet since playing h7-h5 himself will leave him with a weak h5-pawn and potentially a problem on the g5 square. 12...h5N There had only been one human game up to this point, and h5 is formally a novelty. But, it was contested between top engines in the TCEC competition, so Magnus surely was familiar with the ideas. He was still blitzing out his prep at this point. [12...a6? would be well met by 13.h5! when White has an excellent position.; [That was in fact played in the recent game Kramnik-Roganovic, Batumi Olympiad 2018 which continued 12...a6 13.h5 Nf4 14.Nc3 Be7 15.Be3 Nd3+ 16.Bxd3 Bxd3 17.h6 and White won in 42 moves. - ed.]] 13.Qa4 Bd7 14.Qb4 Bf5 15.Be3 No early draws this time! [15.Bg5!? may have been a more critical move. Still, I am sure Magnus would have been ready for it. 15...Qb8 16.Be2 a6 17.Nc3 Nf4 18.Bf1 Be7 19.Bxe7 Kxe7 20.g3 Ng6 and a draw after 59 moves in Houdini 6.03-Stockfish earlier this year.] 15...a6 The first move Magnus thought about. [15...Be7!? The machine thinks giving the a7-pawn is interesting. It might be right but it looks risky to me. 16.Bxa7 0-0 17.g3 Be4 Otherwise White just goes Bg2 with an extra pawn 18.Rg1 Bf3 Black has obvious compensation, but I'm not fully convinced it is enough.] 16.Nc3 Qc7 [16...Be7 Again, Black could have pitched the pawn to speed up his development. But I don't really mind Magnus' choice. He clearly understood the resulting middlegame better than Caruana.] 17.g3 Be7 18.f3?! The first dubious move of the game. Perhaps White was worried about e5-e4 then Ng6-e5 can come to solve the problem of the poorly placed g6-knight, but this strikes me as too defensive and too slow. [18.Be2 The computer flirts with weird checks on a4. This move looks by far the most natural to me. 18...e4 19.Bb6 Qd7 20.Bd4 White looks better to me, but of course it is still complicated.] 18...Nf8! One bad piece makes a bad position, and White's play has been slow enough that Black has time for Nf8-d7 before castling. 19.Ne4 Nd7 20.Bd3 0-0 21.Rh2?! White's second dubious decision. It's not such a silly way to develop the rook as it clearly belongs on the c-file. but it appears to articifial to me. [21.0-0 Sometimes boring is prudent. I don't think White is better, but he is definitely not worse and has a fair plan to expand with c4-c5 eventually.] 21...Rac8 [21...Bg6 Preparing f7-f5 immediately was fine as well. I suspect Carlsen did not want to allow White to respond with 22.g4 Though here Black is also better after the accurate response 22...Nf6! ] 22.0-0-0 Bg6! f7-f5 is coming. Black is setting his central pawn majority in motion while White's queenside is badly stalled- c4-c5 looks impossible to ever pull off. I think Black is already seriously better. Note that Carlsen chose this moment to go for Bf5-g6 since White cannot comfortably play g3-g4 in response due to the hanging c-pawn. 23.Rc2 [23.g4? hxg4! 24.fxg4 Bxe4! The point. White loses the c4-pawn, and the game.] 23...f5 24.Nf2 [24.Ng5 The computers prefer this move by a wide margin, but I still would not want to be White after something like 24...Bxg5 25.hxg5 e4! 26.Bf1 (26.fxe4 fxe4 27.Be2 Ne5 Also looks awful) 26...f4! When the bishop on g6 becomes a monster. 27.Bxf4 Nc5 Black's attack is extremely dangerous.] 24...Nc5 Around here, I thought Magnus would win the game, and in fine style to close out the match after eleven draws. White's position looks miserable. 25.f4 a5!? This move is not best. But it doesn't really bother me- I think Black should still win. [25...exf4 Sesse claims opening the position was the best way. White will either lose the h4-pawn after 26.gxf4 (26.Bxf4 Or this can be met with 26...b5! When the queenside is blasted open. Technically this may be best, but White suddenly has a solid looking position, a good bishop on f4, and the g6-bishop is not inspiring. Magnus's choice is no worse in my opinion.) 26...Bxh4 and White has no meaningful compensation; 25...b5 This also looks very strong, and may be the most human way to bring in the full point. Black forces open the queenside. The machine's recommendation of 26.Bxc5 dxc5 27.Qd2 Bd6 Looks rather hopeless for White to me. Eventually he will lose on the dark squares.] 26.Qd2 e4 White is completely stuck, has no counterplay, no plan. But the position is locked. All Black has to do is get the b7-b5 advance through. If he manages, he should win. And he should manage. 27.Be2 Be8 28.Kb1 Bf6 29.Re1 a4?? Much like I did to Caruana for playing h2-h3 in game 8, I am giving an exceptionally harsh evaluation to Magnus for this move, which is totally not in the spirit of the position. His only plan to win the game is b7-b5. It should be enough if he manages under decent circumstances. But now, he has cleared the b4-square for White's queen! This makes his task significantly harder, if not impossible. In addition, the pawn on a4 deprives Black's knight and bishop access to this square, which both pieces would want to use. Magnus said this was prophylaxis against Bd4 due to Nb3, but it still doesn't come close to justifying allowing the queen to b4. [29...Ba4! This was the most convincing route to victory according to the machine, and Caruana mentioned it was what he was most concerned about. Black wins in all lines, for instance 30.b3 (30.Bxh5 This looks like a little bit of counterplay but Black wins the race after 30...Bxc2+ 31.Qxc2 b5! 32.Bg6 bxc4 33.Qe2 Rb8 Black mates first.; 30.Rcc1 b5! 31.cxb5 Qb6 The b-file opens, and Black should win.) 30...Bxb3! 31.axb3 Nxb3 32.Qd1 a4! And Black can just ignore White's extra piece, which is meaningless. b7-b5 comes next. Still, this is hard to do in an OTB game. I don't really mind Magnus not playing Ba4. Playing a4 was what I took issue with.; 29...Rb8!? A move like this one is what I would expect a human to do. b5 is coming and White can't do anything about it. 30.Bd4 A bad move, but what else? In addition to Nd3 winning material, this position is also just wretched after the simple 30...Bxd4 31.Qxd4 b5 Black should win, easily.; 29...g6 Even a patient waiting move like this might be enough.] 30.Qb4! Now how will b5 come? Black has no other way to open the position. 30...g6 31.Rd1 Ra8 Magnus has gotten a lot of grief for offering a draw here, from both club level online kibitzers to past World Champions. I'll spare him my full thoughts on the matter, but I will say I don't really understand his decision. He faces absolutely no risk ever and still has some plans at his disposal to try to get b5 through, with as Bd7, Rrb8, etc. Maybe White is holding, maybe he isn't. I'd need to look a lot longer to draw any conclusions. But I really think Black should have played, at least until time control. All that said, I still think he is a favorite in the playoff. His rapid and blitz skills have long been atop the world, and I do think he played better overall chess in the classical portion (if this can ever be said for a 6-6 tie with no decisive games). Still, while he is a favorite in the playoff, his victory is by no means gauranteed. Upsets can happen, and Magnus would do well to try not to be tilted by both starting and ending the match by drawing a winning position with Black. 1/2-1/2

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